IREN’s Record Profit Unravels as Accounting Magic Masks Weak Core

7 November 2025 - 13:32 CET
Bitcoin mining room
Credit: IR_Stone

Shares in IREN fell 12% after the Bitcoin miner-turned AI infrastructure company posted record quarterly results that turned out to rely more on accounting manoeuvres rather than genuine business performance. 

The Australian company reported a first-quarter net income of $384mn on revenue of $240.3mn, up 342% year-on-year. 

On the surface, it looked like a turnaround story. In reality, almost all of that profit came from a $665mn unrealised mark-to-market gain on convertible-note hedges, a paper profit created by revaluing those financial instruments at current market prices. The figure boosted the bottom line without adding a cent of cash. 

Without that gain, IREN’s operating income was negative $76.4mn, and adjusted EBITDA slid to $91.7mn from $121.9mn in the previous quarter. Meanwhile, SG&A costs, the overheads of running the business, including salaries and marketing, more than doubled, highlighting a surge in spending that has yet to translate into growth. 

AI pivot built on promises 

IREN’s much-publicised $9.7bn Microsoft contract announced earlier this week anchors its rebranding from miner to hyperscaler. The deal includes a 20% prepayment and phased GPU deployments through 2026, with management projecting up to $1.9bn in annual recurring revenue once fully operational. Yet AI cloud income last quarter was only $7.3mn, with almost all revenue still coming from Bitcoin mining. 

The company plans to build out 140,000 GPUs across North America and claims it can reach $3.4bn in AI revenue by the end of 2026. That ambition depends on enormous capital spending and the success of servicing $1bn in convertible debt – a form of borrowing that can later be swapped for shares, potentially diluting existing investors. 

Behind the numbers, investor fatigue 

Even after a 600% share rally this year, IREN’s financials show soft core margins, with weakening profitability once non-cash gains are stripped out. Rising costs, heavy leverage, and modest underlying earnings suggest a company burning fuel faster than it builds engines. 

The market’s verdict was blunt: what looked like a transformation was largely a revaluation. IREN’s ‘record quarter’ may have impressed on paper, but investors saw through it and hit sell.