Bitcoin's retreat from its ~$128,000 peak reflects more than a macro wobble, Deutsche Bank Research argued in a note published on 23 Jun.
Bitcoin Losing Ground to AI as Institutional Rotation Deepens, Deutsche Bank Says
Analyst Marion Laboure identifies four drivers: a hawkish pivot by newly appointed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, who has guided markets towards two rate hikes in 2026; record institutional outflows from US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), now six weeks running at roughly $6bn; a sentiment shock from Strategy's first bitcoin sale since December 2022; and a structural rotation of risk capital into artificial intelligence.
The AI angle is the sharpest. Bitcoin ETF and crypto treasury inflows have fallen to around $12bn year-to-date in 2026, against roughly $60bn across all of 2025, while the five largest US hyperscalers are on track to spend over $720bn on AI infrastructure this year. Deutsche Bank notes Bitcoin currently trades below Strategy's average acquisition cost of $75,699, raising the prospect of forced selling by leveraged corporate holders.
On regulation, the bank rates the CLARITY Act's passage before year-end at roughly 44–46%, citing prediction markets, down from above 70% earlier in 2026.